Archive for the ‘NFL Locks’ Category

Monday Night Football

Tuesday, October 2nd, 2018

Las Vegas is burning.

Payouts are less, prices are more, and the corporate wiseguys are much more cut-throat & dangerous than anyone in Meyer Lansky’s crew ever was.

Lansky believed the Las Vegas takeover, which began with Howard Hughes’ purchase of the Desert Inn in 1967, was just one syndicate replacing another.

In his diaries he called the corporate syndicate “the real organized crime, the real underworld.”

After the Mafia’s inglorious expulsion from Cuba, Las Vegas became a melting pot of mob money.

Giancana owned the Tropicana, Siegel & Lansky the Flamingo, Major Riddle the Dunes, Detroit and St. Louis families the Aladdin, Sarno Circus, Circus, Doc Stacher the Sands.

Meyer Lansky, referring to the Syndicate, quipped: ”We’re bigger than U.S. Steel.”

In the 1980s Sin City was still very much a mob town. It was clean. It was tidy. Everyone knew their place. Everyone had fun. Everyone made money.

The mob was everywhere & no one wore flip-flops or tank tops in the casinos.

The rise of the corporate syndicate introduced a new, insatiable, competitive force in Glitter Gulch: Wall Street.

Never denied, the corporate cabal set their sites on turning Las Vegas into the cut-throat, dangerous, “family-themed vacation hot spot” it is today.

Monday Night Football – This game opened at KC -5 and has moved to -3.5 across the board.

This means all the money has been coming in on Denver.

We bought Denver early at +5.

Now’s the time to hedge your bet with our NFL Lock of the Week ™:

Kansas City -3.5 @ Denver                 W

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Locks™ are not for entertainment purposes. They are for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.

NFL Lock of the Week ™

Friday, September 28th, 2018

We’ve been at this The Chickenhawk thing for over 30 years. Maybe longer.

Starting off as a Vegas Strip handout, we included  insider information and betting tips alongside 1-900 telephone numbers. We battled the derelicts handing out prostitute rags. We’d stuff them in the hands of every tourist we could find.

Now look at us.

“Always Open, Everyone Welcome”

Original content, breaking news, Trump tweets, facebook, tweets. NFL picks … what more could the world possibly want?

Still, there’s no traffic.

Friends, relatives and enemies all wonder: why?

Not as in, why no traffic? But as in, why does this website still exist?

We’re not sure either but maybe it has something to do with making you happy.

If you’re a sports bettor and you pay for picks: Get a hold of yourself!

You’re not a lemming, you’re a man (or a woman)!

Think for yourself! Stand up straight, use your legs … maybe even (gasp!) do some sit-ups!

Our NFL Lock of the Week ™ is:

Green Bay -9.5 vs Buffalo                 W

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Locks™ are not for entertainment purposes. They are for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.

 

 

It’s a Mad World

Wednesday, September 26th, 2018

Rolling Stone lists him as their 10th Best Stand-Up Comic of All Time ahead of luminaries Steve Martin (#11) and Robin Williams (#12).

Mort Sahl is 91. He still performs.

Blackballed by the industry because of his continued investigation into JFK’s assassination, Johnny Carson vented: “tell Mort it’ll be a long time before he’s back on the show!” Mort, once a regular, was never on the show again.

Mort worked for Kennedy. “The old man,” Joseph Kennedy, paid him for his jokes.

For his assistance in his JFK investigation, New Orleans District Attorney, Jim Garrison, awarded him with a plaque that says:

To Mort Sahl

The Best Friend John Kennedy Ever Had.

From Jim Garrison, Jim Alcock, Andrew Sciambra and Louis Ivon

New Orleans – May 29, 1969

Thursday night’s NFL contest is a reminder of a what a Mad World it really is.

Minnesota was humiliated at home by the lowly Buffalo Bills. Not only did they not cover the 17 point spread, they lost the game by 21 points. That’s a 38 point misfire by the wiseguys.

LA Rams are 3-0 and on top of everyone’s NFL Power Rankings. They’re -7 point favorites.

Our NFL Lock of the Week ™ is Minnesota +7 @ LA Rams.                *P      

*W for +7.5 line shoppers.

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Locks™ are not for entertainment purposes. They are for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.

 

The Experts

Wednesday, September 19th, 2018

NFL Locks

They’re coming out of the woodwork. The Experts are everywhere.

After our Jacksonville pick a National sports gaming “expert” came out and said it was a “cute” pick. He then explained why the expert pick was New England.

Lemmings across the country pumped money in New England’s direction.

The problem with experts is they fall in love with their “expert” reasons, whether it’s the center is hurt, yards per completion, red zone percentage, coach, or quarterback.

They then marry their reasons, make their picks, in some instances even sell their picks and then, when they lose, they’re left scrambling for a mistress or divorce attorney.

What they’re missing is the forest from the trees.

The linesmakers know all the expert information. In some cases, they create the information.

Betting against the Vegas wiseguys is a slippery slope if you think you can get the edge on them by studying time of possession or quarterback play in warm weather.

Brass tacks: The Buffalo Bills are, arguably, the worst team in the NFL. They’re 0 – 2 with 23 points for and 78 points against.

Week 3 Buffalo travels to Minnesota in an unwinnable contest against the now mighty, Kirk Cousins-fueled, Vikings.

The Vikings are 1-0-1 with 53 points scored and 45 points against.

The line opened at 16.5 and it’s going higher. No one in their right mind is betting Buffalo.

Or are they?

We’re waiting until game time and our Week #3 NFL Lock of the Week ™ is:

Buffalo +17 @ Minnesota             W

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Locks™ are not for entertainment purposes. They are for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.

 

 

 

 

The Deep State and Fake News – NFL Locks ™

Friday, September 14th, 2018

The Donald recently tweeted about The Deep State, the Left and Fake News while Mainstream Media tried to smile. “Nothing to see here,” they murmured to themselves. Meanwhile, back in the streets of Dallas, JFK’s head went back and to the left.

  • @realDonaldTrump

    The Deep State and the Left, and their vehicle, the Fake News Media, are going Crazy – & they don’t know what to do. The Economy is booming like never before, Jobs are at Historic Highs, soon TWO Supreme Court Justices & maybe Declassification to find Additional Corruption. Wow!

Las Vegas flunkies, like myself, we watch the seasons come and go. How quickly we forget.

Over the years, you would’ve gone broke betting against Brady and Belichick. How quickly we forget, too.

This week, we’re dropping a dime and letting our faithful followers know, our NFL Week #2 Lock of the Week ™ is:

Jacksonville +1.5 vs New England                        W

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Locks™ are not for entertainment purposes. They are for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.

NFL Locks

Tuesday, September 4th, 2018

-Michael Coreleone, The Godfather, Part III

Just when I thought that I was out, they pull me back in.
–  Max Steingrout, Las Vegas Legend

Fanning flames of flames past, one wonders if embers or charred remnants remain?

To wind up back where it all began is a wistful and wondrous thing (as is automatic spell check).

Back in the day when we were banging on the door of Caesar’s sportsbook to open, we knew the line before they did.

We knew, too, when they made a mistake.

Sometimes we’d bet heavy paper early and even heavier paper later. We called it: “market correction.” Often we’d win both sides of the bet and everything in between.

Similarly, when we sold this site to the news & entertainment lightweights that now own it and they decided to change the format to “take on the big boys.”

I knew they made a mistake.

Now, as weed and gambling have become legal across the country, they come crawling through the desert on their hands and knees asking me to write their weekly NFL betting column.

How could I refuse?

The beginning of the betting season, especially: this betting season, offers experienced bettors an opportunity to earn additional income.

Nobody, but nobody, beats the wise guys.

However, if you can find the forest from the trees, you just might find, you can win often enough to squirrel a nut from the woods.

The lines makers aren’t trying to win the bet, they’re trying to spread the risk evenly and take home the vig.

Opening night is Thursday, September 6th.

We smell an opening line mistake.

Our NFL Locks ™:

Philadelphia -1.5 vs Atlanta                       w

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Locks™ are not for entertainment purposes. They are for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.

Super Bowl XLIX

Saturday, January 31st, 2015

The Chickenhawk Super Bowl Lock

Most of our longtime followers (RIP – Mike, Bryan, & Dick) are dead. Somehow, for now, we’ve survived. It got so bad, our NFL Locks ™ column was abandoned mid-season and we were left wagering other people’s money on Opposite Picks ™ at the Caesars Sports Book.

A virtual lifetime ago (http://www.thechickenhawk.com/blog1/?p=5736), when asked, during an interview with WEEI’s Dale & Holley, if we ever considered Gamblers Anonymous, we told Holley: “I’m in too deep.” He laughed but I wasn’t kidding.

As degenerate bettors know, and Kris Kristofferson wrote:

Freedom’s just another word for nothin’ left to lose.

Ladies and Gentlemen: we got nothin’ left to lose.

This makes us dangerous bettors. Dangerous to The Book and Dangerous to ourselves.

We could, yawn … talk about Xs and Os, offense vs defense & defense vs offense. Or we could compare cities, personalities and review betting trends. We could compare players, coaches and match-ups. We could roll out tape and inflate/deflate Deflategate. Yawn again.

Instead, after surveying this year’s Super Bowl scene, we’re betting everything: the mortgage, family farm, auto payment, college tuition savings, 401 K, and the big fat loan from Rocco The Wiseguy on this year’s …

Super Bowl Locks ™

New England PK vs Seattle            W

OVER 47 1/2                                 W

Coin toss:   Tails                                W

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Super Bowl Locks™ is not for entertainment purposes. It is for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.

Ted

Sunday, December 14th, 2014

As Ted Kennedy found out, power is a fickle bed fellow.

In our interview with Joan Kennedy, when asked about the Warren Commission, she explained:  “He (Ted) didn’t think it did anyone any good to believe otherwise. It wouldn’t be good for The Country. It wouldn’t be good for The Kennedys.”

Author Jefferson Morley suggests, “Teddy had a choice. Investigate his brother’s death and kiss off public service for the rest of his life. Or embrace public service and avoid looking into the terrible and painful realities of Dallas. He made his choice and he had to figure out how to live with it.”

NFL Locks ™-

KC -10.5 vs Oakland

Jacksonville +14 @ Baltimore

Atlanta +3 vs Pittsburgh

 

Stones Sell Out

Sunday, December 7th, 2014

Why have the gutted live performances of Sympathy for the Devil by removing “- who killed the ?”

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The season, officially, down the shitter, it’s nearly impossible for us to make up for this season’s losses. Unfortunately we’ve become the punchline in a long series of unsubstantiated gaming jokes. Still, per usual, we flog on.
Week Whatever NFL Locks ™-
Miami -3 vs Baltimore
Cincinnati -3 vs Pittsburgh
Indianapolis -3 @ Cleveland
Houston -6.5 @ Jacksonville
NY Giants -2.5 @ Tennessee
Carolina +9.5 @ New Orleans
Detroit -10 vs Tampa Bay
St. Louis -3 @ Washington
Minnesota -4 vs NY Jets
Buffalo +10 @ Denver
KC -2.5 @ Arizona
San Francisco -8 @ Oakland
Seattle -1 @ Philadelphia
New England -3.5 @ San Diego
Atlanta +13 @ Green Bay

Sympathy for the Devil

Thursday, November 27th, 2014

Beggars Banquet

The Rolling Stones began recording Sympathy for the Devil on June 4, 1968.

Lyrics included:   I shouted out, who killed Kennedy?

On June 5, 1968 RFK was assassinated.

The Stones went back into the studio and changed the words to:

I shouted out, who killed the Kennedys?

Thanksgiving Day NFL Locks ™-

Chicago +7 @ Detroit                         L

Dallas -3 vs Philadelphia                      L

Seattle +1.5 @ San Francisco                    W

Indianapolis -9.5 vs Washington                    W

Houston -7 vs Tennessee                           W

Cleveland +3 @ Buffalo                             L

San Diego +6 @ Baltimore                          W

NY Giants -3 @ Jacksonville                         L

Tampa Bay +3.5 vs Cincinnati                        W

St. Louis -6.5 vs Oakland                            W

New Orleans +4.5 @ Pittsburgh                     W

Carolina +2.5 @ Minnesota                        L

Arizona -1.5 @ Atlanta                               L

New England +3 @ Green Bay                     L

KC +1.5 vs Denver                                   L

Miami -6.5 vs NY Jets                                       L

TCh NFL Locks ™ vs Spread (70 – 89 – 2) (.436%)

Disclaimer: The Chickenhawk’s NFL Locks™ are not for entertainment purposes. They are for making you serious amounts of ca$h. Remember: the more you bet, the more you win.